2027 Election: Three Reasons Peter Obi May Not Join Coalition Party, ADA

According to NewsVista analysis, while opposition figures rally under a new coalition party, the All Democratic Alliance (ADA), ahead of the 2027 general election, one name remains uncertain in the equation—Peter Obi.

Obi, the Labour Party presidential candidate in the 2023 elections, broke the long-standing two-party dominance by creating a powerful third force. His performance shocked the political establishment and sparked hope among many Nigerians seeking an alternative to the APC-PDP cycle.

However, despite the formation of ADA as a new coalition aimed at unseating President Bola Tinubu, signs point to Obi staying out of the alliance. Here are key reasons:

1. Obi’s Loyalty to the Labour Party

Peter Obi has made it clear that he has no plans to leave the Labour Party. In a recent statement, he said, “I will continue to run in the Labour Party. I’m a member of the Labour Party.” Joining another platform would not only contradict this statement but could also harm his credibility—a key pillar of his public image.

2. Atiku’s Influence Over the Coalition

Former Vice President Atiku Abubakar, who initiated the coalition movement, is still widely believed to be eyeing the 2027 ticket. If ADA becomes his political vehicle, it may limit Obi’s chances of running as the coalition’s presidential candidate, leaving him with little incentive to switch parties.

3. Obidient Movement’s Expectations

Obi’s passionate base—the Obidients—believe strongly in his independent presidential run. Many reject the idea of him playing second fiddle or repeating his 2019 alliance as Atiku’s running mate. Given the momentum he built in 2023, his supporters want to see him go all the way in 2027.

4. Analyst Weighs In

Political analyst Okanlawon Gaffar believes Obi must stay in the race. “It’s not politically wise for Obi to step back now. He had an impressive outing in 2023 and should try again in 2027,” Gaffar told NewsVista.

Final Note

As the opposition continues to strategize, it remains to be seen whether ADA will bring unity or division. For now, Peter Obi’s stance is clear: he’s not leaving the Labour Party—and he’s likely preparing for a second presidential run.